Aircraft Accident Speculation

[ScudRunner-d95]

So why is it that many people on forums like this shout down anyone who speculates as to the cause of an aircraft accident? I have learned a lot from speculation as sometimes it gets me thinking about other accidents and causes that I may have never considered and I believe the more knowledge the better.

However I see many times after accidents happen and someone says I believe that XYZ might have caused this as it happened before to a similar type only to have threads of people shouting them down saying wait for the report.

So whats the harm in speculating?

[Chuck Ellsworth]

Maybe it is societies reluctance to admit mistakes and to prevent this they shout down anyone who might hurt their feelings?

They look at accidents as " Learning experiences ".

Obviously I have not learned yet.

[Colonel]

I've noticed that a lot of people shouting down
the discussion on the accidents are involved in
some capacity, and want to suppress knowledge
of the accident.



One thing I see is that young people haven't
learned that you don't get to choose what you
become famous / notorious for.  Censorship just
doesn't work, despite their fondness for the
work of Stalin et al.

[CpnCrunch]

It seems to just happen on avcanada. Someone speculates about icing, flying into crappy weather, etc. and you instantly get jumped on by a bunch of people who say it's bad to speculate when someone has just been killed. I guess it's better to wait 2 years until everyone has forgotten about it? 9 times out of 10 the avcanada speculation came to the same conclusions as the TSB 2 years later. (Occasionally you get something from left field, like that guy who flew drunk).